Monday, April 6, 2020

It’s the Corona Surprise test and we have the failed in the Agriculture paper


It’s the Corona Surprise test and we have the failed in the Agriculture paper!
Vaibhav B S

The corona virus has announced the surprise test to the whole world, of how prepared they are and the top countries have started to shudder and their papers are filled with red marks. For all the crowns and laurels that India is the emerging super power, it was provided the paper fairly late and yet it was found wanting for preparation. India prepared for the healthcare paper but it has been served the Agriculture paper along with the healthcare paper and in the opening test India has failed the agriculture paper!
An economy or the social resilience of a country is tested by how quickly it has been able to respond and support the weakest link in the chain of its social structure. The war waged by Covid-19 has exposed India’s preparedness in the agriculture supply chain and value addition. The lock down has been a lock down of the farms with the perishable produce also locked inside and the rot is killing the farmers. The most disappointing aspect has been the silence of the Agri startups and their eco systems especially the startups who were promising to bring changes in the agri supply chain. Of course, there have been few startups who have transformed quickly to address the need to the consumers of urban area but that’s easier of the problems to address and its impact is just a blip in the cauldron of problem faced by the real victim of the crisis – the farmers. The hour of crisis should have been seen as an opportunity by the agri – startups to display their flexibility to manifest and deploy their resources and solutions but instead the startups have either behaved just as any big corporate with no flexibility or like an evanescent entity that go missing during the hour of need.  
The surprise test has exposed India’s priority and planning in the agriculture and horticulture sector during crisis. During the crisis hour, the District magistrate of each district becomes de-facto power center to handle the crisis but amongst all the standard operating procedures, supporting agriculture supply chain seems to be missing. The government planning should be relooked to make agriculture/ horti sector as top sectors during crisis. It is to be remembered the end of the German Blitzkrieg in to Russia during World war 2 was brought about by Russians farmers (who burned their field and emptied their food storage in the path of the German troops). Every crisis/ internal strife in the country is linked to the agrarian crisis.
The most effected populace due to Covid 19 is not the patients – they have been cradled by the government, not the traders who have the higher negotiating power, not the input suppliers, not the wholesalers, not the retailers, but the farmers whose crop has come to harvest but has no market to be taken in to. The worst effected, even amongst farmers are the farmers of the products with lower shelf life. The private supply chain has forsaken these farmers and it has left them to the ex – gratia of the government to help. The government which planned for the patients, municipal utilities, PDS, essential supplies through its network had forgotten about these farmers. When news started pouring about the plight of the fruit & vegetable farmers and how the urban consumer base is getting restless without these suppliers, the governments started reacting. Even the reaction couldn’t yield great results for the farmers as the government’s own setup doesn’t have the infrastructure and planning for addressing the supply chain of the agri products during the crisis and that too on an immediate basis. Instead of considering the farmers’ product movement as priority, restrictions have been placed for people and material movement.   
The government with the help of other stakeholder such as FPOs, farmers, trader associations, food processors, Agri startups and agri linked industries should be planning the following at the earliest:
Ø  Resource Assessment and mapping: Mapping of all the agri and horti related resources including farmers, laborers, land diversity, roads, agri transport related transport, shandies, local markets, APMC yards, processing industries, input dealers, government offices, raitha samparka kendras, government horticultural farms, etc. available in the hobli, taluk and district levels for planners to have the clear understanding of the resources available.
Ø  Season wise assessment: Season-wise mapping the crop wise & village wise agri zones and the likely area productivity and the total yield. This data can be updated by the revenue authorities (through RTC data) in consultation with the agriculture, horticulture and agri -marketing departments. Based on the state level and national level intelligence the farmers should be advised on the crops to be considered for production.
Ø  Variation assessment: With the help universities, ICAR institutes, experts and agri startups the authorities have to be advised on the likely factors which will be affecting the productivity like disease, environmental factors, etc. for each season. The collection of data can be made real time with the available software and hardware of the agri startups. A prediction model has to be put in place for predicting the likely yields and to take corrective measures.
Ø  Gap assessment: This will be most important aspect to be taken up after the above factors. After mapping the present resource and likely effect on the income of the farmers, a gap analysis has to be done in terms of the infrastructure either to help the farmers to achieve the threshold productivity and the likely infrastructure required to market and process the product thus produced. After understanding the gaps either in terms of basic infrastructure, marketing infrastructure, processing infrastructure etc. government could setup the infrastructure or incentivize the private sector to develop the infrastructure.
Ø  Resource allocation for bridging the gap:  The government budget should be allocated to the bridge the gaps and thus help the best return of the investment for the government budget allocation.
Ø  Minimum Production returns: The farmers’ production activity should be considered a social activity taken up for the benefit of the society thus a minimum production fee has to be given to the farmers in case of the price drop due to the market vagaries or due to vagaries of the weather.  
Ø  Development Cooperative structure or FPOs: To increase the farmers’ capabilities and negotiating power the Government has to stay invested in the FPOs (Farmer Producer Organizations) or cooperative structures. Despite of the many failures there is no alternative to this as any other alternative may not be inclusive. The following problems of the FPOs should be addressed through the course of time:
1)     Lack of expertise and lack of resources to hire expertise.
2)     Lack of product specific focus and long-term vision and thus no quality and quantity-based planning.
3)     Lack of Marketing and supply chain infrastructure nor Government support for larger out reach
4)     Lack of priority-based procurement by Government from FPOs
5)     Attrition of skilled work force
6)     Lack of financial strength or credit worthiness for establishing large infrastructure for processing and manufacturing
7)     Land conversion laws restrain the commercial activity in agriculture lands
8)     Lack of Government laws to minimize the land related issues
9)     Internal Politics among board of directors
10)Feudalistic mind set of village level politics decreases the inclusiveness
The above planning has to be made available for the disaster management team to address the immediate problems of the farmer. For example: during the present crisis if the district authorities had the list of the processors and their capacities, they could have directed the farmers to take their produce directly to the processors and allowed the processors to procure at a threshold price. Further, essential supplies could have been allowed to the regulated markets and also allowed the last mile retailers and wholesalers to procure. The rest of the produce could have been moved towards storage and released based on the requirement and expiry. However, no such resource map was available to the decision makers and thus leaving the authorities to scamper for helping the farmers.
The Covid 19 exam is still not over and the Agriculture paper is going to be re- presented, with a whole new set of low shelf products coming to harvest, the next test will be tough and the failure in the up coming test will be unforgiving for all the stakeholders including the government.     
    




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